The following is an archived copy of a message sent to the CASI Analysis List run by Cambridge Solidarity with Iraq.
Views expressed in this archived message are those of the author, not of Cambridge Solidarity with Iraq (CASI).
[Main archive index/search] [List information] [CASI Homepage]
[ This message has been sent to you via the CASI-analysis mailing list ] Everyone, Prof. Richard Garfield (one of the Lancet study's authors) responded to an email questioning the rapid apparent drop in Iraqi infant mortality. Dr. Garfield replied that "one can't compare a cluster sample survey (Lancet's methodology) to a much larger demographic survey ... the cluster sample has a wide CI when you get down to age specific causes." Dr. Garfield goes on to say, "I trust the 1999 UNICEF piece, but that is only through 1998. We know mortality declined since then, and we still don't know how much." Note that while the CPA mortality rates from earlier this year remained high, Dr. Garfield doesn't grant these data much weight. On a related note, a link posted by Daniel O'Huiginn continues to accumulate informed analysis and bears repeated visits. See http://ex-parrot.com/~chris/wwwitter/20041102-_but_one_hundred_thousand_deaths_is_an_easily-abused_statistic.html Regards, Drew Hamre Golden Valley, MN USA _______________________________________ Sent via the CASI-analysis mailing list To unsubscribe, visit http://lists.casi.org.uk/mailman/listinfo/casi-analysis All postings are archived on CASI's website at http://www.casi.org.uk