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> In the John Pilger documentary, I remember someone saying that he believed > that Iraq is no longer a threat and does not have weapons of mass > destruction. > Does anyone know how likely this is to be true. This guy was definitely an > anti-sanctions person and it was certainly in the interest of his argument > to make such a claim. I do not know what evidence he had to back up this > statement. I have certainly heard people from the other camp claim the > opposite, as well they might be expected to, so I don't really know what to > believe. Can anyone clarify this one? Hi Hugh, That was Scott Ritter, the former Unscom chief weapons inspector (not executive chairman). He was part of the original inspection team put together by Rolf Ekéus in 1991. Prior to this he'd been with the US Marines during the Gulf War working on intelligence. During that time, he had managed to earn Schwarzkopf's disapproval by attempting to verify the number of Scud launchers announced each day as destroyed (Schwarzkopf is quoted as saying that he didn't want Ritter spreading "bad ju-ju" with his questions). Ritter became famous for his "gung-ho" style. In a lengthy article in the New Yorker magazine ("Scott Ritter's private war", November 1998) his pioneering of "challenge inspections" (inspections without warning) was described. He was also famously quoted as telling his inspection teams that: You work for me, so every one of you are alpha dogs. When we go to the site, they're gonna know we are there, we're gonna raise our tails and we're gonna spray urine all over their walls...when we leave a site they will know they've been inspected. Ritter resigned in part because two challenge inspections that he had been working on for some time were cancelled, in part due to pressure from Madeleine Albright (according to The Washington Post, "U.S. Fought Surprise Inspections", Barton Gellman, 14 August 1998; see http://www.ex-parrot.com/casi/discuss/1998/235.html). On resigning he charged the Security Council with interest in the illusion of arms control (The Washington Post, "Inspector quits U.N. team, says council bowing to defiant Iraq", Barton Gellman, 27 August 1998). Later he also made statements of support for Denis Halliday's own resignation and anti-sanctions stance. He believed that Halliday was in a very difficult position, being told to run a UN humanitarian programme in a country that the UN was oppressing. More recently, including on the Pilger documentary, he has distinguished between "quantitative" and "qualitative" disarmament. The former involves accounting for every last nut, bolt or document and, in his view, is impossible. The latter involves "effective" disarmament: does Iraq have any weapons facilities involved in proscribed weapons? Ritter doesn't think so. Regarding claims from "the other camp" about Iraq's weapons, my reading of most of those documents is that they're conjectural: because we do not know where ..., it is possible that... While this is not a subject on which I am an expert, I believe that Ritter also believes these reports to be conjectural. I think that he also believes that the risks grow while weapons inspectors stay out of Iraq and that the US should offer a trade: sanctions lifted for inspectors' return. I hope that this helps somewhat. Colin Rowat ****************************************************** Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq http://welcome.to/casi fax 0870 063 5022 are you on our announcements list? ****************************************************** 393 King's College www.cus.cam.ac.uk/~cir20 Cambridge CB2 1ST tel: +44 (0)7768 056 984 England fax: +44 (0)8700 634 984 -- ----------------------------------------------------------------------- This is a discussion list run by the Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq For removal from list, email soc-casi-discuss-request@lists.cam.ac.uk Full details of CASI's various lists can be found on the CASI website: http://welcome.to/casi